Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 8-3A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
 Tylertown | 2–0 | 3–4 | +13 |
 Presbyterian Christian | 1–0 | 5–2 | +12 |
 West Marion | 1–1 | 2–5 | +4 |
 St. Stanislaus | 0–1 | 2–5 | −5 |
 St. Patrick | 0–2 | 2–4 | −24 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 1.3 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Presbyterian Christian is 1–0 in Region 8-3A and 5–2 overall. The ratings project 3.9 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at West Marion in Week 8, where the model has Presbyterian Christian by 30, with a 99% chance to win. Then against St. Stanislaus at home in Week 9.
St. Stanislaus is 0–1 in Region 8-3A and 2–5 overall. The ratings project 1.6 region wins and give it a 94% chance at the playoffs. Next is against St. Patrick at home in Week 8, where the model has St. Stanislaus by 12, with an 81% chance to win. Then at Presbyterian Christian in Week 9.
Tylertown is 2–0 in Region 8-3A and 3–4 overall. The ratings project 2.7 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at St. Patrick in Week 9, where the model has Tylertown by 7, with a 68% chance to win. Then against Presbyterian Christian at home in Week 10.
West Marion is 1–1 in Region 8-3A and 2–5 overall. The ratings project 1.3 region wins and give it a 95% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Presbyterian Christian at home in Week 8, where the model has Presbyterian Christian by 30, with a 99% chance to win. Then at St. Stanislaus in Week 10.
St. Patrick is 0–2 in Region 8-3A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.5 region wins, 0.8 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 10% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at St. Stanislaus in Week 8, where the model has St. Stanislaus by 12, with an 81% chance to win. Then against Tylertown at home in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
