Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 7-3A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
 Jefferson County | 1–0 | 2–4 | +12 |
| Hazlehurst | 1–0 | 4–2 | +12 |
| Port Gibson | 1–1 | 3–3 | −3 |
| Franklin | 1–1 | 2–5 | +3 |
| Crystal Springs | 0–2 | 0–6 | −24 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 1.8 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Hazlehurst is 1–0 in Region 7-3A and 4–2 overall. The ratings project 3.7 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Franklin at home in Week 8, where the model has Hazlehurst by 15, with an 87% chance to win. Then at Jefferson County in Week 9.
Franklin is 1–1 in Region 7-3A and 2–5 overall. The ratings project 1.8 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Hazlehurst in Week 8, where the model has Hazlehurst by 15, with an 87% chance to win. Then against Jefferson County at home in Week 10.
Port Gibson is 1–1 in Region 7-3A and 3–3 overall. The ratings project 2.6 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Jefferson County at home in Week 8, where the model has Port Gibson by 3, with a 58% chance to win. Then at Crystal Springs in Week 9.
Jefferson County is 1–0 in Region 7-3A and 2–4 overall. The ratings project 1.9 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Port Gibson in Week 8, where the model has Port Gibson by 3, with a 58% chance to win. Then against Hazlehurst at home in Week 9.
Crystal Springs is 0–2 in Region 7-3A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.0 region wins, 1.8 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it less than a 1% chance at the playoffs. The path starts against Port Gibson at home in Week 9, where the model has Port Gibson by 29, with a 98% chance to win. Then at Hazlehurst in Week 10.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
