Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 3-3A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas E. Edwards | 2–0 | 6–0 | +24 |
 O’Bannon | 1–1 | 5–1 | 0 |
 Amanda Elzy | 1–1 | 2–5 | 0 |
 Yazoo County | 0–1 | 3–3 | −12 |
 Humphreys County | 0–1 | 0–6 | −12 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 1.4 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Thomas E. Edwards is 2–0 in Region 3-3A and 6–0 overall. The ratings project 4.0 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Humphreys County at home in Week 8, where the model has Thomas E. Edwards by 44, with a 99% chance to win. Then at Yazoo County in Week 10.
O’Bannon is 1–1 in Region 3-3A and 5–1 overall. The ratings project 2.8 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Amanda Elzy in Week 9, where the model has O’Bannon by 13, with an 83% chance to win. Then against Humphreys County at home in Week 10.
Yazoo County is 0–1 in Region 3-3A and 3–3 overall. The ratings project 1.4 region wins and give it an 88% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Amanda Elzy at home in Week 8, where the model has Yazoo County by 4, with a 61% chance to win. Then at Humphreys County in Week 9.
Amanda Elzy is 1–1 in Region 3-3A and 2–5 overall. The ratings project 1.6 region wins and give it a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Yazoo County in Week 8, where the model has Yazoo County by 4, with a 61% chance to win. Then against O’Bannon at home in Week 9.
Humphreys County is 0–1 in Region 3-3A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.2 region wins, 1.2 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 12% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at Thomas E. Edwards in Week 8, where the model has Thomas E. Edwards by 44, with a 99% chance to win. Then against Yazoo County at home in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
