Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 1-3A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
 Booneville | 2–0 | 6–0 | +24 |
 Alcorn Central | 2–0 | 5–2 | +24 |
 Mantachie | 0–1 | 4–3 | −12 |
 Kossuth | 0–1 | 3–3 | −12 |
| Belmont | 0–2 | 1–5 | −24 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 1.1 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Booneville is 2–0 in Region 1-3A and 6–0 overall. The ratings project 4.0 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Mantachie in Week 8, where the model has Booneville by 35, with a 99% chance to win. Then against Alcorn Central at home in Week 9.
Kossuth is 0–1 in Region 1-3A and 3–3 overall. The ratings project 2.3 region wins and give it a 98% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Belmont in Week 8, where the model has Kossuth by 7, with a 69% chance to win. Then against Mantachie at home in Week 9.
Belmont is 0–2 in Region 1-3A and 1–5 overall. The ratings project 1.1 region wins and give it an 80% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Kossuth at home in Week 8, where the model has Kossuth by 7, with a 69% chance to win. Then at Mantachie in Week 10.
Alcorn Central is 2–0 in Region 1-3A and 5–2 overall. The ratings project 2.3 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Booneville in Week 9, where the model has Booneville by 27, with a 97% chance to win. Then against Kossuth at home in Week 10.
Mantachie is 0–1 in Region 1-3A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.3 region wins, 0.8 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 22% chance at the playoffs. The path starts against Booneville at home in Week 8, where the model has Booneville by 35, with a 99% chance to win. Then at Kossuth in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
