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Region overview · MHSAA Class 3A

Region 2-3A

Four schools, five region weeks, and all four make the playoffs.

This Friday, Oct. 91 region game this week.

Every team in Region 2-3A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).

This week · Week 8

Week 8

The one region game this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.

Independence by359%win chance
41%59%

Standings

Region games only

Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.

TeamRegionOverallPts ± (capped)
Independence1–05–1+12
North Panola1–03–3+12
Coahoma County0–12–4−12
Holly Springs0–13–3−12

If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1

  1. Head-to-head among the tied teams (their combined records if three or more are tied).
  2. How the tied teams did against the highest-seeded teams.
  3. Point differential in the region games among the tied teams, capped at 12 a game. A forfeit counts the full 12.
  4. Point differential in region games against the highest-seeded teams.
  5. Fewest points allowed in all region games (no cap).
  6. A coin flip.

Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.

Projected seeds

All four qualify

Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.

1Independencelevel with North Panola on projection · the tiebreak decides2.4proj. wins
2North Panolalevel with Independence on projection · the tiebreak decides2.4proj. wins
3Coahoma County1.0proj. wins
4Holly Springs0.2proj. wins
The playoff cut

Every team in Region 2-3A makes the playoffs. The projected seeds above show where each one lands.

Team by team

Record5–11–0 in region
PCPI−315th of 39 in 3A
Proj. region wins2.4of 2
Nextvs North Panola · Week 8Independence by 3 · 59% win chance

Independence is 1–0 in Region 2-3A. Every team in the region makes the playoffs, so the region games decide the seeding, and the ratings project Independence for 2.4 region wins. Next is against North Panola at home in Week 8, where the model has Independence by 3, with a 59% chance to win. Then against Coahoma County at home in Week 10.

Record3–31–0 in region
PCPI−519th of 39 in 3A
Proj. region wins2.4of 2
Nextat Independence · Week 8Independence by 3 · 41% win chance

North Panola is 1–0 in Region 2-3A. Every team in the region makes the playoffs, so the region games decide the seeding, and the ratings project North Panola for 2.4 region wins. Next is at Independence in Week 8, where the model has Independence by 3, with a 59% chance to win. Then against Holly Springs at home in Week 10.

Record2–40–1 in region
PCPI−1328th of 39 in 3A
Proj. region wins1.0of 2
Nextvs Holly Springs · Week 9Coahoma County by 13 · 82% win chance

Coahoma County is 0–1 in Region 2-3A. Every team in the region makes the playoffs, so the region games decide the seeding, and the ratings project Coahoma County for 1.0 region wins. Next is against Holly Springs at home in Week 9, where the model has Coahoma County by 13, with an 82% chance to win. Then at Independence in Week 10.

Record3–30–1 in region
PCPI−2434th of 39 in 3A
Proj. region wins0.2of 2
Nextat Coahoma County · Week 9Coahoma County by 13 · 18% win chance

Holly Springs is 0–1 in Region 2-3A. Every team in the region makes the playoffs, so the region games decide the seeding, and the ratings project Holly Springs for 0.2 region wins. Next is at Coahoma County in Week 9, where the model has Coahoma County by 13, with an 82% chance to win. Then at North Panola in Week 10.

Region play, week by week

Projected on today's ratings, which move weekly
Week 8
North Panola at IndependenceIndependence by 3 · 59%
Week 9
Holly Springs at Coahoma CountyCoahoma County by 13 · 82%
Week 10
Coahoma County at IndependenceIndependence by 11 · 80%
Holly Springs at North PanolaNorth Panola by 21 · 94%

Last Friday against the number

Week 7 · Thursday, Oct. 8

Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.

North Panola 34, Coahoma County 8 North Panola by 3+23
Ratings after Week 7 (games through Oct. 9). They move every Saturday. Ratings are fitted on every scored Mississippi game at once. Projection = home rating − away rating + a 2-point home edge; win chance = how often a margin like it holds up.