Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 6-3A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below. Still level after every step we can compute: Raleigh, Seminary.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
 Magee | 2–0 | 6–1 | +24 |
| 21Seminary | 1–0 | 6–1 | +12 |
 Raleigh | 1–0 | 5–1 | +12 |
| Jefferson Davis County | 0–2 | 1–6 | −24 |
 McLaurin | 0–2 | 2–5 | −24 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 1.0 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Seminary is 1–0 in Region 6-3A and 6–1 overall. The ratings project 3.4 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against McLaurin at home in Week 8, where the model has Seminary by 54, with a 99% chance to win. Then at Raleigh in Week 9.
Raleigh is 1–0 in Region 6-3A and 5–1 overall. The ratings project 3.3 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Magee in Week 8, where the model has Raleigh by 13, with an 83% chance to win. Then against Seminary at home in Week 9.
Magee is 2–0 in Region 6-3A and 6–1 overall. The ratings project 2.3 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Raleigh at home in Week 8, where the model has Raleigh by 13, with an 83% chance to win. Then at Seminary in Week 10.
Jefferson Davis County is 0–2 in Region 6-3A and 1–6 overall. The ratings project 1.0 region wins and give it a 97% chance at the playoffs. Next is at McLaurin in Week 9, where the model has Jefferson Davis County by 25, with a 97% chance to win. Then against Raleigh at home in Week 10.
McLaurin is 0–2 in Region 6-3A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.0 region wins, 1.0 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 3% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at Seminary in Week 8, where the model has Seminary by 54, with a 99% chance to win. Then against Jefferson Davis County at home in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
