Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 8-4A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
25 Pass Christian | 2–0 | 7–0 | +24 |
 Forrest County AHS | 1–1 | 3–4 | 0 |
 Moss Point | 1–1 | 2–5 | −7 |
| Greene County | 0–1 | 4–3 | −12 |
 Bay | 0–1 | 0–6 | −5 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 1.1 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Pass Christian is 2–0 in Region 8-4A and 7–0 overall. The ratings project 4.0 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Moss Point in Week 8, where the model has Pass Christian by 39, with a 99% chance to win. Then against Bay at home in Week 10.
Greene County is 0–1 in Region 8-4A and 4–3 overall. The ratings project 2.7 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Bay at home in Week 8, where the model has Greene County by 31, with a 99% chance to win. Then against Moss Point at home in Week 9.
Forrest County AHS is 1–1 in Region 8-4A and 3–4 overall. The ratings project 2.2 region wins and give it a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Bay in Week 9, where the model has Forrest County AHS by 18, with a 90% chance to win. Then against Greene County at home in Week 10.
Moss Point is 1–1 in Region 8-4A and 2–5 overall. The ratings project 1.1 region wins and give it a 93% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Pass Christian at home in Week 8, where the model has Pass Christian by 39, with a 99% chance to win. Then at Greene County in Week 9.
Bay is 0–1 in Region 8-4A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.1 region wins, 1.0 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it an 8% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at Greene County in Week 8, where the model has Greene County by 31, with a 99% chance to win. Then against Forrest County AHS at home in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
