Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 3-4A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
23 Senatobia | 2–0 | 7–0 | +24 |
| Rosa Fort | 1–0 | 4–2 | +12 |
 Clarksdale | 1–1 | 3–3 | 0 |
 Ripley | 0–1 | 1–6 | −12 |
| Byhalia | 0–2 | 1–5 | −24 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 1.0 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Senatobia is 2–0 in Region 3-4A and 7–0 overall. The ratings project 3.9 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Rosa Fort at home in Week 8, where the model has Senatobia by 16, with an 88% chance to win. Then against Ripley at home in Week 10.
Clarksdale is 1–1 in Region 3-4A and 3–3 overall. The ratings project 2.6 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Byhalia in Week 9, where the model has Clarksdale by 42, with a 99% chance to win. Then against Rosa Fort at home in Week 10.
Rosa Fort is 1–0 in Region 3-4A and 4–2 overall. The ratings project 2.4 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Senatobia in Week 8, where the model has Senatobia by 16, with an 88% chance to win. Then against Ripley at home in Week 9.
Ripley is 0–1 in Region 3-4A and 1–6 overall. The ratings project 1.0 region wins and give it a 95% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Byhalia in Week 8, where the model has Ripley by 22, with a 95% chance to win. Then at Rosa Fort in Week 9.
Byhalia is 0–2 in Region 3-4A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.1 region wins, 0.9 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 5% chance at the playoffs. The path starts against Ripley at home in Week 8, where the model has Ripley by 22, with a 95% chance to win. Then against Clarksdale at home in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
