Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 1-4A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
 Corinth | 2–0 | 4–2 | +24 |
 New Albany | 1–0 | 4–2 | +12 |
 Tishomingo County | 1–0 | 4–2 | +12 |
 South Pontotoc | 0–2 | 0–7 | −24 |
 North Pontotoc | 0–2 | 2–5 | −24 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 1.3 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Corinth is 2–0 in Region 1-4A and 4–2 overall. The ratings project 3.6 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Tishomingo County at home in Week 8, where the model has Corinth by 28, with a 98% chance to win. Then at New Albany in Week 10.
New Albany is 1–0 in Region 1-4A and 4–2 overall. The ratings project 3.2 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at South Pontotoc in Week 8, where the model has New Albany by 35, with a 99% chance to win. Then at Tishomingo County in Week 9.
Tishomingo County is 1–0 in Region 1-4A and 4–2 overall. The ratings project 1.6 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Corinth in Week 8, where the model has Corinth by 28, with a 98% chance to win. Then against New Albany at home in Week 9.
North Pontotoc is 0–2 in Region 1-4A and 2–5 overall. The ratings project 1.3 region wins and give it an 89% chance at the playoffs. Next is at South Pontotoc in Week 9, where the model has North Pontotoc by 13, with an 84% chance to win. Then against Tishomingo County at home in Week 10.
South Pontotoc is 0–2 in Region 1-4A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.2 region wins, 1.1 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it an 11% chance at the playoffs. The path starts against New Albany at home in Week 8, where the model has New Albany by 35, with a 99% chance to win. Then against North Pontotoc at home in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
