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Region overview · MHSAA Class 2A

Region 8-2A

Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.

This Friday, Oct. 92 region games this week.

Every team in Region 8-2A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).

This week · Week 8

Week 8

Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.

East Marion by1281%win chance
81%19%
Sacred Heart by153%win chance
47%53%

Standings

Region games only

Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.

TeamRegionOverallPts ± (capped)
East Marion2–06–1+24
Perry Central1–04–3+12
North Forrest1–12–5−10
Sacred Heart0–13–3−12
Collins0–22–5−14

If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1

  1. Head-to-head among the tied teams (their combined records if three or more are tied).
  2. How the tied teams did against the highest-seeded teams.
  3. Point differential in the region games among the tied teams, capped at 12 a game. A forfeit counts the full 12.
  4. Point differential in region games against the highest-seeded teams.
  5. Fewest points allowed in all region games (no cap).
  6. A coin flip.

Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.

Projected seeds

Four of five qualify

Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.

1East Marion3.8proj. wins
2Perry Central3.0proj. wins
3North Forrest1.6proj. wins
4Sacred Heart1.1proj. wins
The playoff cut
5Collins0.6proj. wins
The playoff cut
1.1region wins at the cut

The 4th projected seed sits at 1.1 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.

Team by team

Record6–12–0 in region
PCPI+184th of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins3.8of 2
Nextat Perry Central · Week 8East Marion by 12 · 81% win chance

East Marion is 2–0 in Region 8-2A and 6–1 overall. The ratings project 3.8 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Perry Central in Week 8, where the model has East Marion by 12, with an 81% chance to win. Then against Collins at home in Week 10.

Record4–31–0 in region
PCPI+416th of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins3.0of 3
Nextvs East Marion · Week 8East Marion by 12 · 19% win chance

Perry Central is 1–0 in Region 8-2A and 4–3 overall. The ratings project 3.0 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against East Marion at home in Week 8, where the model has East Marion by 12, with an 81% chance to win. Then against North Forrest at home in Week 9.

Record2–50–2 in region
PCPI−1227th of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins0.6of 2
Playoff chance52%
Nextvs Sacred Heart · Week 9Collins by 2 · 57% win chance

Collins is 0–2 in Region 8-2A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 0.6 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 1.1. They give Collins a 52% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Sacred Heart at home in Week 9, where the model has Collins by 2, with a 57% chance to win. Then at East Marion in Week 10.

Record2–51–1 in region
PCPI−1329th of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins1.6of 2
Playoff chance83%
Nextat Sacred Heart · Week 8Sacred Heart by 1 · 47% win chance

North Forrest is 1–1 in Region 8-2A and 2–5 overall. The ratings project 1.6 region wins and give it an 83% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Sacred Heart in Week 8, where the model has Sacred Heart by 1, with a 53% chance to win. Then at Perry Central in Week 9.

Record3–30–1 in region
PCPI−1330th of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins1.1of 3
Playoff chance65%
Nextvs North Forrest · Week 8Sacred Heart by 1 · 53% win chance

Sacred Heart is 0–1 in Region 8-2A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 1.1 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 1.1. They give Sacred Heart a 65% chance at the playoffs. Next is against North Forrest at home in Week 8, where the model has Sacred Heart by 1, with a 53% chance to win. Then at Collins in Week 9.

Region play, week by week

Projected on today's ratings, which move weekly
Week 8
East Marion at Perry CentralEast Marion by 12 · 81%
North Forrest at Sacred HeartSacred Heart by 1 · 53%
Week 9
Sacred Heart at CollinsCollins by 2 · 57%
North Forrest at Perry CentralPerry Central by 18 · 91%
Week 10
Collins at East MarionEast Marion by 31 · 99%
Perry Central at Sacred HeartPerry Central by 15 · 87%

Last Friday against the number

Week 7 · Friday, Oct. 9

Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.

Collins 8, Perry Central 26 Perry Central by 15−3
Columbia Academy 28, Sacred Heart 0 Columbia Academy by 25−3
North Forrest 7, East Marion 60 East Marion by 26−9
Ratings after Week 7 (games through Oct. 9). They move every Saturday. Ratings are fitted on every scored Mississippi game at once. Projection = home rating − away rating + a 2-point home edge; win chance = how often a margin like it holds up.