Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 3-2A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
 Northside | 2–0 | 5–1 | +24 |
 Charleston | 1–0 | 4–3 | +12 |
 Leland | 1–1 | 1–5 | −2 |
 J Z George | 0–1 | 3–4 | −12 |
| Palmer | 0–2 | 0–7 | −22 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 1.3 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Northside is 2–0 in Region 3-2A and 5–1 overall. The ratings project 3.7 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Leland in Week 8, where the model has Northside by 33, with a 99% chance to win. Then against Charleston at home in Week 9.
Charleston is 1–0 in Region 3-2A and 4–3 overall. The ratings project 3.3 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against J Z George at home in Week 8, where the model has Charleston by 26, with a 97% chance to win. Then at Northside in Week 9.
J Z George is 0–1 in Region 3-2A and 3–4 overall. The ratings project 1.6 region wins and give it a 93% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Charleston in Week 8, where the model has Charleston by 26, with a 97% chance to win. Then against Palmer at home in Week 9.
Leland is 1–1 in Region 3-2A and 1–5 overall. The ratings project 1.3 region wins and give it a 98% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Northside at home in Week 8, where the model has Northside by 33, with a 99% chance to win. Then at J Z George in Week 10.
Palmer is 0–2 in Region 3-2A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.2 region wins, 1.1 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 9% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at J Z George in Week 9, where the model has J Z George by 13, with an 83% chance to win. Then against Charleston at home in Week 10.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
