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Region overview · MHSAA Class 2A

Region 4-2A

Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.

This Friday, Oct. 92 region games this week.

Every team in Region 4-2A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).

This week · Week 8

Week 8

Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.

Kemper County by872%win chance
28%72%
Velma Jackson by1076%win chance
76%24%

Standings

Region games only

Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.

TeamRegionOverallPts ± (capped)
Kemper County2–06–1+24
Eupora1–07–0+12
East Webster1–16–10
Philadelphia0–10–7−12
Velma Jackson0–23–4−24

If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1

  1. Head-to-head among the tied teams (their combined records if three or more are tied).
  2. How the tied teams did against the highest-seeded teams.
  3. Point differential in the region games among the tied teams, capped at 12 a game. A forfeit counts the full 12.
  4. Point differential in region games against the highest-seeded teams.
  5. Fewest points allowed in all region games (no cap).
  6. A coin flip.

Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.

Projected seeds

Four of five qualify

Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.

1Kemper County3.7proj. wins
2East Webster2.7proj. wins
3Eupora2.5proj. wins
4Velma Jackson0.8proj. wins
The playoff cut
5Philadelphia0.3proj. wins
The playoff cut
0.8region wins at the cut

The 4th projected seed sits at 0.8 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.

Team by team

Record6–11–1 in region
PCPI+202nd of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins2.7of 2
Nextat Velma Jackson · Week 9East Webster by 21 · 94% win chance

East Webster is 1–1 in Region 4-2A and 6–1 overall. The ratings project 2.7 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Velma Jackson in Week 9, where the model has East Webster by 21, with a 94% chance to win. Then against Eupora at home in Week 10.

Record6–12–0 in region
PCPI+193rd of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins3.7of 2
Nextvs Eupora · Week 8Kemper County by 8 · 72% win chance

Kemper County is 2–0 in Region 4-2A and 6–1 overall. The ratings project 3.7 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Eupora at home in Week 8, where the model has Kemper County by 8, with a 72% chance to win. Then at Philadelphia in Week 10.

Record7–01–0 in region
PCPI+137th of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins2.5of 3
Nextat Kemper County · Week 8Kemper County by 8 · 28% win chance

Eupora is 1–0 in Region 4-2A and 7–0 overall. The ratings project 2.5 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Kemper County in Week 8, where the model has Kemper County by 8, with a 72% chance to win. Then against Philadelphia at home in Week 9.

Record3–40–2 in region
PCPI−320th of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins0.8of 2
Playoff chance76%
Nextat Philadelphia · Week 8Velma Jackson by 10 · 76% win chance

Velma Jackson is 0–2 in Region 4-2A and 3–4 overall. The ratings project 0.8 region wins and give it a 76% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Philadelphia in Week 8, where the model has Velma Jackson by 10, with a 76% chance to win. Then against East Webster at home in Week 9.

Record0–70–1 in region
PCPI−1431st of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins0.3of 3
Playoff chance24%
Nextvs Velma Jackson · Week 8Velma Jackson by 10 · 24% win chance

Philadelphia is 0–1 in Region 4-2A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.3 region wins, 0.5 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 24% chance at the playoffs. The path starts against Velma Jackson at home in Week 8, where the model has Velma Jackson by 10, with a 76% chance to win. Then at Eupora in Week 9.

Region play, week by week

Projected on today's ratings, which move weekly
Week 8
Eupora at Kemper CountyKemper County by 8 · 72%
Velma Jackson at PhiladelphiaVelma Jackson by 10 · 76%
Week 9
Philadelphia at EuporaEupora by 29 · 98%
East Webster at Velma JacksonEast Webster by 21 · 94%
Week 10
Eupora at East WebsterEast Webster by 9 · 74%
Kemper County at PhiladelphiaKemper County by 32 · 99%

Last Friday against the number

Week 7 · Friday, Oct. 9

Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.

East Webster 49, Philadelphia 0 East Webster by 350
J Z George 12, Eupora 48 Eupora by 27+8
Velma Jackson 26, Kemper County 45 Kemper County by 21+2
Ratings after Week 7 (games through Oct. 9). They move every Saturday. Ratings are fitted on every scored Mississippi game at once. Projection = home rating − away rating + a 2-point home edge; win chance = how often a margin like it holds up.