Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 2-2A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
 Myrtle | 2–0 | 5–1 | +24 |
 Bruce | 2–0 | 7–0 | +20 |
 Water Valley | 0–1 | 2–5 | −8 |
| Strayhorn | 0–1 | 1–6 | −12 |
 East Union | 0–2 | 1–6 | −24 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 0.6 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Myrtle is 2–0 in Region 2-2A and 5–1 overall. The ratings project 3.4 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Water Valley at home in Week 8, where the model has Myrtle by 7, with a 70% chance to win. Then against Bruce at home in Week 9.
Bruce is 2–0 in Region 2-2A and 7–0 overall. The ratings project 3.3 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Myrtle in Week 9, where the model has Myrtle by 6, with a 67% chance to win. Then against Strayhorn at home in Week 10.
Water Valley is 0–1 in Region 2-2A and 2–5 overall. The ratings project 2.2 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Myrtle in Week 8, where the model has Myrtle by 7, with a 70% chance to win. Then at Strayhorn in Week 9.
Strayhorn is 0–1 in Region 2-2A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 0.6 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 0.6. They give Strayhorn a 54% chance at the playoffs. Next is at East Union in Week 8, where the model has Strayhorn by 1, with a 54% chance to win. Then against Water Valley at home in Week 9.
East Union is 0–2 in Region 2-2A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 0.5 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 0.6. They give East Union a 46% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Strayhorn at home in Week 8, where the model has Strayhorn by 1, with a 54% chance to win. Then at Water Valley in Week 10.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
