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Region overview · MHSAA Class 2A

Region 1-2A

Four schools, three region weeks, and all four make the playoffs.

This Friday, Oct. 9No region games this week.

Every team in Region 1-2A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).

This week · Week 8

Week 8

Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.

HatleyatBaldwyn
Baldwyn by2496%win chance
4%96%
HamiltonatWalnut
Hamilton by1180%win chance
80%20%

Standings

Region games only

Nobody has played a region game yet. The table fills in from the region opener, Week 8.

TeamRegionOverallPts ± (capped)
Baldwyn0–05–2
Hatley0–04–2
Hamilton0–03–4
Walnut0–03–4

If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1

  1. Head-to-head among the tied teams (their combined records if three or more are tied).
  2. How the tied teams did against the highest-seeded teams.
  3. Point differential in the region games among the tied teams, capped at 12 a game. A forfeit counts the full 12.
  4. Point differential in region games against the highest-seeded teams.
  5. Fewest points allowed in all region games (no cap).
  6. A coin flip.

Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.

Projected seeds

All four qualify

Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.

1Baldwyn2.8proj. wins
2Hamilton1.7proj. wins
3Hatley1.0proj. wins
4Walnut0.5proj. wins
The playoff cut

Every team in Region 1-2A makes the playoffs. The projected seeds above show where each one lands.

Team by team

Record5–20–0 in region
PCPI+614th of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins2.8of 3
Nextvs Hatley · Week 8Baldwyn by 24 · 96% win chance

Baldwyn starts region play against Hatley at home in Week 8. It's 5–2 overall and rated 14th of 39 in Class 2A after Week 7. The model has Baldwyn by 24, with a 96% chance to win. Every team in the region makes the playoffs, so the region games decide the seeding, and the ratings project Baldwyn for 2.8 region wins. After that, it's at Hamilton in Week 9.

Record3–40–0 in region
PCPI−824th of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins1.7of 3
Nextat Walnut · Week 8Hamilton by 11 · 80% win chance

Hamilton starts region play at Walnut in Week 8. It's 3–4 overall and rated 24th of 39 in Class 2A after Week 7. The model has Hamilton by 11, with an 80% chance to win. Every team in the region makes the playoffs, so the region games decide the seeding, and the ratings project Hamilton for 1.7 region wins. After that, it's against Baldwyn at home in Week 9.

Record4–20–0 in region
PCPI−1732nd of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins1.0of 3
Nextat Baldwyn · Week 8Baldwyn by 24 · 4% win chance

Hatley starts region play at Baldwyn in Week 8. It's 4–2 overall and rated 32nd of 39 in Class 2A after Week 7. The model has Baldwyn by 24, with a 96% chance to win. Every team in the region makes the playoffs, so the region games decide the seeding, and the ratings project Hatley for 1.0 region wins. After that, it's against Walnut at home in Week 9.

Record3–40–0 in region
PCPI−2235th of 39 in 2A
Proj. region wins0.5of 3
Nextvs Hamilton · Week 8Hamilton by 11 · 20% win chance

Walnut starts region play against Hamilton at home in Week 8. It's 3–4 overall and rated 35th of 39 in Class 2A after Week 7. The model has Hamilton by 11, with an 80% chance to win. Every team in the region makes the playoffs, so the region games decide the seeding, and the ratings project Walnut for 0.5 region wins. After that, it's at Hatley in Week 9.

Region play, week by week

Projected on today's ratings, which move weekly
Week 8
Hatley at BaldwynBaldwyn by 24 · 96%
Hamilton at WalnutHamilton by 11 · 80%
Week 9
Baldwyn at HamiltonBaldwyn by 13 · 82%
Walnut at HatleyHatley by 6 · 67%
Week 10
Walnut at BaldwynBaldwyn by 29 · 98%
Hamilton at HatleyHamilton by 7 · 69%

Last Friday against the number

Week 7 · Friday, Oct. 9

Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.

Vardaman 6, Hamilton 28 Hamilton by 18+4
Walnut 6, Biggersville 16Upset Walnut by 5−15
Water Valley 18, Baldwyn 34 Baldwyn by 5+11
Ratings after Week 7 (games through Oct. 9). They move every Saturday. Ratings are fitted on every scored Mississippi game at once. Projection = home rating − away rating + a 2-point home edge; win chance = how often a margin like it holds up.