Region 1-5A — Press Coverage

This Friday, Oct. 93 region games this week.

Every team in Region 1-5A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).

This week · Week 7

Friday, Oct. 9

All three region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.

ColumbusatCaledonia

Caledonia by2395%win chance

5%95%

New HopeatLafayette

New Hope by360%win chance

60%40%

West PointatPontotoc

Pontotoc by1383%win chance

17%83%

Standings

Region games only

Nobody has played a region game yet. The table fills in from the region opener, Friday, Oct. 9.

Team	Region	Overall
Pontotoc	0–0	4–1
Lafayette	0–0	5–1
New Hope	0–0	3–2
Caledonia	0–0	2–3
West Point	0–0	0–5
Columbus	0–0	0–5

If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1

Head-to-head among the tied teams (their combined records if three or more are tied).
How the tied teams did against the highest-seeded teams.
Point differential in the region games among the tied teams, capped at 12 a game. A forfeit counts the full 12.
Point differential in region games against the highest-seeded teams.
Fewest points allowed in all region games (no cap).
A coin flip.

Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.

Projected seeds

Four of six qualify

Projected region wins, ratings after Week 6. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.

Pontotoc4.0proj. wins

New Hope3.5proj. wins

Lafayette2.9proj. wins

West Point2.6proj. wins

The playoff cut

Caledonia1.9proj. wins

Columbus0.1proj. wins

The playoff cut

2.6region wins at the cut

The 4th projected seed sits at 2.6 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.

Team by team

PontotocWarriors

Record4–10–0 in region

PCPI+252nd of 24 in 5A

Proj. region wins4.0of 5

Playoff chance99%

Nextvs West Point · Friday, Oct. 9Pontotoc by 13 · 83% win chance

Pontotoc starts region play against West Point at home Friday, Oct. 9. It's 4–1 overall and rated 2nd of 24 in Class 5A after Week 6. The model has Pontotoc by 13, with an 83% chance to win. The ratings project Pontotoc for 4.0 region wins and give it a 99% chance at the playoffs. After that, it's against Caledonia at home in Week 8.

New HopeTrojans

Record3–20–0 in region

PCPI+204th of 24 in 5A

Proj. region wins3.5of 5

Playoff chance94%

Nextat Lafayette · Friday, Oct. 9New Hope by 3 · 60% win chance

New Hope starts region play at Lafayette Friday, Oct. 9. It's 3–2 overall and rated 4th of 24 in Class 5A after Week 6. The model has New Hope by 3, with a 60% chance to win. The ratings project New Hope for 3.5 region wins and give it a 94% chance at the playoffs. After that, it's at Columbus in Week 8.

LafayetteCommodores

Record5–10–0 in region

PCPI+156th of 24 in 5A

Proj. region wins2.9of 5

Playoff chance83%

Nextvs New Hope · Friday, Oct. 9New Hope by 3 · 40% win chance

Lafayette starts region play against New Hope at home Friday, Oct. 9. It's 5–1 overall and rated 6th of 24 in Class 5A after Week 6. The model has New Hope by 3, with a 60% chance to win. The ratings project Lafayette for 2.9 region wins and give it an 83% chance at the playoffs. After that, it's against West Point at home in Week 8.

West PointGreen Wave

Record0–50–0 in region

PCPI+137th of 24 in 5A

Proj. region wins2.6of 5

Playoff chance76%

Nextat Pontotoc · Friday, Oct. 9Pontotoc by 13 · 17% win chance

West Point starts region play at Pontotoc Friday, Oct. 9. It's 0–5 overall and rated 7th of 24 in Class 5A after Week 6. The model has Pontotoc by 13, with an 83% chance to win. The ratings project West Point for 2.6 region wins and give it a 76% chance at the playoffs. After that, it's at Lafayette in Week 8.

CaledoniaCavaliers

Record2–30–0 in region

PCPI+812th of 24 in 5A

Proj. region wins1.9of 5

Playoff chance47%

Nextvs Columbus · Friday, Oct. 9Caledonia by 23 · 95% win chance

Caledonia starts region play against Columbus at home Friday, Oct. 9. It's 2–3 overall and rated 12th of 24 in Class 5A after Week 6. The model has Caledonia by 23, with a 95% chance to win. The ratings project Caledonia for 1.9 region wins and give it a 47% chance at the playoffs. After that, it's at Pontotoc in Week 8.

ColumbusFalcons

Record0–50–0 in region

PCPI−1324th of 24 in 5A

Proj. region wins0.1of 5

Nextat Caledonia · Friday, Oct. 9Caledonia by 23 · 5% win chance

Columbus starts region play at Caledonia Friday, Oct. 9. It's 0–5 overall and rated 24th of 24 in Class 5A after Week 6. The model has Caledonia by 23, with a 95% chance to win. The ratings project Columbus for 0.1 region wins and give it less than a 1% chance at the playoffs. After that, it's against New Hope at home in Week 8.

Region play, week by week

Projected on today's ratings, which move weekly

Week 7Friday, Oct. 9

Columbus at CaledoniaCaledonia by 23 · 95%

New Hope at LafayetteNew Hope by 3 · 60%

West Point at PontotocPontotoc by 13 · 83%

Week 8

New Hope at ColumbusNew Hope by 31 · 99%

West Point at LafayetteLafayette by 4 · 60%

Caledonia at PontotocPontotoc by 18 · 90%

Week 9

Lafayette at ColumbusLafayette by 26 · 97%

Pontotoc at New HopePontotoc by 3 · 57%

Caledonia at West PointWest Point by 7 · 68%

Week 10

Lafayette at CaledoniaLafayette by 5 · 63%

Columbus at PontotocPontotoc by 39 · 99%

New Hope at West PointNew Hope by 5 · 64%

Week 11

Pontotoc at LafayettePontotoc by 8 · 71%

Caledonia at New HopeNew Hope by 14 · 83%

West Point at ColumbusWest Point by 24 · 96%

Last Friday against the number

Week 6

Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.

New Hope 56, Saltillo 0 New Hope by 39−4

PURE Academy (TN) 24, Lafayette 28 Lafayette by 14−10

Ruston (LA) 29, West Point 2Upset West Point by 16−43

Shannon 38, Pontotoc 35Upset Pontotoc by 7−10

Ratings after Week 6 (games through Oct. 2). They move every Saturday. Ratings are fitted on every scored Mississippi game at once. Projection = home rating − away rating + a 2-point home edge; win chance = how often a margin like it holds up.