Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 8-1A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
 Resurrection | 2–0 | 2–4 | +11 |
 Stringer | 1–0 | 5–2 | +12 |
| Lumberton | 1–0 | 2–4 | +12 |
 Richton | 0–2 | 2–4 | −20 |
 Taylorsville | 0–2 | 0–7 | −15 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 1.0 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Stringer is 1–0 in Region 8-1A and 5–2 overall. The ratings project 3.7 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Richton in Week 8, where the model has Stringer by 21, with a 94% chance to win. Then at Lumberton in Week 9.
Lumberton is 1–0 in Region 8-1A and 2–4 overall. The ratings project 2.8 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Resurrection in Week 8, where the model has Lumberton by 15, with an 86% chance to win. Then against Stringer at home in Week 9.
Taylorsville is 0–2 in Region 8-1A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 1.0 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 1.0. They give Taylorsville a 61% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Richton in Week 9, where the model has Taylorsville by 3, with a 60% chance to win. Then against Lumberton at home in Week 10.
Richton is 0–2 in Region 8-1A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 0.5 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 1.0. They give Richton a 39% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Stringer at home in Week 8, where the model has Stringer by 21, with a 94% chance to win. Then against Taylorsville at home in Week 9.
Resurrection is 2–0 in Region 8-1A and 2–4 overall. The ratings project 2.2 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Lumberton at home in Week 8, where the model has Lumberton by 15, with an 86% chance to win. Then at Stringer in Week 10.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
