Five schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 6-1A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
 Simmons | 1–0 | 4–1 | +12 |
| South Delta | 1–1 | 4–3 | 0 |
 Shaw | 1–1 | 2–5 | −4 |
 West Bolivar | 1–1 | 2–5 | +4 |
 Riverside | 0–1 | 0–6 | −12 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 1.0 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Simmons is 1–0 in Region 6-1A and 4–1 overall. The ratings project 4.0 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Shaw in Week 8, where the model has Simmons by 34, with a 99% chance to win. Then against Riverside at home in Week 9.
South Delta is 1–1 in Region 6-1A and 4–3 overall. The ratings project 3.0 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Riverside at home in Week 8, where the model has South Delta by 46, with a 99% chance to win. Then against West Bolivar at home in Week 9.
Shaw is 1–1 in Region 6-1A and 2–5 overall. The ratings project 1.9 region wins and give it a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Simmons at home in Week 8, where the model has Simmons by 34, with a 99% chance to win. Then at Riverside in Week 10.
West Bolivar is 1–1 in Region 6-1A and 2–5 overall. The ratings project 1.0 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at South Delta in Week 9, where the model has South Delta by 28, with a 98% chance to win. Then against Simmons at home in Week 10.
Riverside is 0–1 in Region 6-1A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.1 region wins, 0.9 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 1% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at South Delta in Week 8, where the model has South Delta by 46, with a 99% chance to win. Then at Simmons in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
