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Region overview · MHSAA Class 1A

Region 2-1A

Four schools, three region weeks, and all four make the playoffs.

This Friday, Oct. 9No region games this week.

Every team in Region 2-1A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).

This week · Week 8

Week 8

Both region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.

Potts Camp by2493%win chance
93%7%
Falkner by1484%win chance
84%16%

Standings

Region games only

Nobody has played a region game yet. The table fills in from the region opener, Week 8.

TeamRegionOverallPts ± (capped)
Potts Camp0–03–2
Falkner0–03–3
H. W. Byers0–00–2
Ashland0–00–7

If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1

  1. Head-to-head among the tied teams (their combined records if three or more are tied).
  2. How the tied teams did against the highest-seeded teams.
  3. Point differential in the region games among the tied teams, capped at 12 a game. A forfeit counts the full 12.
  4. Point differential in region games against the highest-seeded teams.
  5. Fewest points allowed in all region games (no cap).
  6. A coin flip.

Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.

Projected seeds

All four qualify

Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.

1Potts Camp2.6proj. wins
2Falkner2.0proj. wins
3Ashlandlevel with H. W. Byers on projection · the tiebreak decides0.7proj. wins
4H. W. Byerslevel with Ashland on projection · the tiebreak decides0.7proj. wins
The playoff cut

Every team in Region 2-1A makes the playoffs. The projected seeds above show where each one lands.

Team by team

Record3–20–0 in region
PCPI−1919th of 34 in 1A
Proj. region wins2.6of 3
Nextat H. W. Byers · Week 8Potts Camp by 24 · 93% win chance

Potts Camp starts region play at H. W. Byers in Week 8. It's 3–2 overall and rated 19th of 34 in Class 1A after Week 7. The model has Potts Camp by 24, with a 93% chance to win. Every team in the region makes the playoffs, so the region games decide the seeding, and the ratings project Potts Camp for 2.6 region wins. After that, it's against Ashland at home in Week 9.

Record3–30–0 in region
PCPI−2928th of 34 in 1A
Proj. region wins2.0of 3
Nextat Ashland · Week 8Falkner by 14 · 84% win chance

Falkner starts region play at Ashland in Week 8. It's 3–3 overall and rated 28th of 34 in Class 1A after Week 7. The model has Falkner by 14, with an 84% chance to win. Every team in the region makes the playoffs, so the region games decide the seeding, and the ratings project Falkner for 2.0 region wins. After that, it's against H. W. Byers at home in Week 9.

Record0–20–0 in region
PCPI−4433rd of 34 in 1A
Proj. region wins0.7of 3
Nextvs Potts Camp · Week 8Potts Camp by 24 · 7% win chance

H. W. Byers starts region play against Potts Camp at home in Week 8. It's 0–2 overall and rated 33rd of 34 in Class 1A after Week 7. The model has Potts Camp by 24, with a 93% chance to win. Every team in the region makes the playoffs, so the region games decide the seeding, and the ratings project H. W. Byers for 0.7 region wins. After that, it's at Falkner in Week 9.

Record0–70–0 in region
PCPI−4434th of 34 in 1A
Proj. region wins0.7of 3
Nextvs Falkner · Week 8Falkner by 14 · 16% win chance

Ashland starts region play against Falkner at home in Week 8. It's 0–7 overall and rated 34th of 34 in Class 1A after Week 7. The model has Falkner by 14, with an 84% chance to win. Every team in the region makes the playoffs, so the region games decide the seeding, and the ratings project Ashland for 0.7 region wins. After that, it's at Potts Camp in Week 9.

Region play, week by week

Projected on today's ratings, which move weekly
Week 8
Potts Camp at H. W. ByersPotts Camp by 24 · 93%
Falkner at AshlandFalkner by 14 · 84%
Week 9
H. W. Byers at FalknerFalkner by 17 · 85%
Ashland at Potts CampPotts Camp by 27 · 97%
Week 10
H. W. Byers at AshlandAshland by 1 · 54%
Potts Camp at FalknerPotts Camp by 9 · 73%

Last Friday against the number

Week 7 · Thursday, Oct. 8

Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.

Ashland 0, Coffeeville 54 Coffeeville by 22−13
Riverside 22, Falkner 28 Falkner by 12−6
Ratings after Week 7 (games through Oct. 9). They move every Saturday. Ratings are fitted on every scored Mississippi game at once. Projection = home rating − away rating + a 2-point home edge; win chance = how often a margin like it holds up.