Seven schools, seven region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 4-7A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
All three region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
10 D'Iberville | 3–0 | 7–0 | +36 |
19 Gulfport | 2–0 | 5–1 | +24 |
 St. Martin | 2–1 | 6–1 | +12 |
 West Harrison | 1–2 | 3–4 | −16 |
 Ocean Springs | 1–2 | 2–5 | −17 |
 Harrison Central | 0–2 | 1–5 | −20 |
 Biloxi | 0–2 | 1–5 | −19 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 2.4 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Gulfport is 2–0 in Region 4-7A and 5–1 overall. The ratings project 5.7 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against West Harrison at home in Week 8, where the model has Gulfport by 34, with a 99% chance to win. Then at Biloxi in Week 9.
D'Iberville is 3–0 in Region 4-7A and 7–0 overall. The ratings project 5.1 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against St. Martin at home in Week 8, where the model has D'Iberville by 14, with an 85% chance to win. Then at Gulfport in Week 10.
St. Martin is 2–1 in Region 4-7A and 6–1 overall. The ratings project 4.0 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at D'Iberville in Week 8, where the model has D'Iberville by 14, with an 85% chance to win. Then against Harrison Central at home in Week 9.
West Harrison is 1–2 in Region 4-7A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 2.1 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 2.4. They give West Harrison a 39% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Gulfport in Week 8, where the model has Gulfport by 34, with a 99% chance to win. Then at Ocean Springs in Week 9.
Ocean Springs is 1–2 in Region 4-7A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 2.4 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 2.4. They give Ocean Springs a 53% chance at the playoffs. Next is against West Harrison at home in Week 9, where the model calls it a toss-up. Then at Harrison Central in Week 10.
Biloxi is 0–2 in Region 4-7A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 1.0 region wins, 1.4 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 6% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at Harrison Central in Week 8, where the model has Biloxi by 4, with a 63% chance to win. Then against Gulfport at home in Week 9.
Harrison Central is 0–2 in Region 4-7A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.7 region wins, 1.7 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 3% chance at the playoffs. The path starts against Biloxi at home in Week 8, where the model has Biloxi by 4, with a 63% chance to win. Then at St. Martin in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
