Six schools, six region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 2-7A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
All three region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below. Still level after every step we can compute: Germantown, Oxford.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
4 Oxford | 1–0 | 5–1 | +3 |
15 Germantown | 1–0 | 4–2 | +10 |
 Clinton | 1–0 | 2–4 | +12 |
 Madison Central | 0–1 | 2–4 | −3 |
11 Starkville | 0–1 | 4–2 | −10 |
 Murrah | 0–1 | 1–6 | −12 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 2.2 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Germantown is 1–0 in Region 2-7A and 4–2 overall. The ratings project 4.3 region wins and give it a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Oxford at home in Week 8, where the model has Germantown by 6, with a 67% chance to win. Then at Madison Central in Week 9.
Starkville is 0–1 in Region 2-7A and 4–2 overall. The ratings project 2.9 region wins and give it an 88% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Clinton in Week 8, where the model has Starkville by 8, with a 72% chance to win. Then at Murrah in Week 9.
Oxford is 1–0 in Region 2-7A and 5–1 overall. The ratings project 3.6 region wins and give it a 97% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Germantown in Week 8, where the model has Germantown by 6, with a 67% chance to win. Then against Clinton at home in Week 9.
Madison Central is 0–1 in Region 2-7A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 2.0 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 2.2. They give Madison Central a 55% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Murrah at home in Week 8, where the model has Madison Central by 32, with a 99% chance to win. Then against Germantown at home in Week 9.
Clinton is 1–0 in Region 2-7A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 2.2 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 2.2. They give Clinton a 61% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Starkville at home in Week 8, where the model has Starkville by 8, with a 72% chance to win. Then at Oxford in Week 9.
Murrah is 0–1 in Region 2-7A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.0 region wins, 2.2 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it less than a 1% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at Madison Central in Week 8, where the model has Madison Central by 32, with a 99% chance to win. Then against Starkville at home in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
