Six schools, six region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 3-7A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
All three region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
 Meridian | 1–0 | 4–2 | +12 |
3 Brandon | 1–0 | 5–1 | +12 |
8 Oak Grove | 1–0 | 5–1 | +1 |
9 Petal | 0–1 | 6–1 | −1 |
 Pearl | 0–1 | 2–5 | −12 |
 Northwest Rankin | 0–1 | 2–4 | −12 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 2.6 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Brandon is 1–0 in Region 3-7A and 5–1 overall. The ratings project 3.8 region wins and give it a 98% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Petal in Week 8, where the model has Brandon by 3, with a 58% chance to win. Then against Oak Grove at home in Week 9.
Oak Grove is 1–0 in Region 3-7A and 5–1 overall. The ratings project 3.8 region wins and give it a 97% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Meridian at home in Week 8, where the model has Oak Grove by 7, with a 71% chance to win. Then at Brandon in Week 9.
Petal is 0–1 in Region 3-7A and 6–1 overall. The ratings project 2.6 region wins and give it an 80% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Brandon at home in Week 8, where the model has Brandon by 3, with a 58% chance to win. Then at Pearl in Week 9.
Meridian is 1–0 in Region 3-7A and 4–2 overall. The ratings project 2.6 region wins and give it an 81% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Oak Grove in Week 8, where the model has Oak Grove by 7, with a 71% chance to win. Then against Northwest Rankin at home in Week 9.
Northwest Rankin is 0–1 in Region 3-7A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 1.7 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 2.6. They give Northwest Rankin a 41% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Pearl at home in Week 8, where the model has Northwest Rankin by 11, with a 79% chance to win. Then at Meridian in Week 9.
Pearl is 0–1 in Region 3-7A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.5 region wins, 2.1 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 3% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at Northwest Rankin in Week 8, where the model has Northwest Rankin by 11, with a 79% chance to win. Then against Petal at home in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
