Six schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 4-6A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
All three region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
 Long Beach | 1–0 | 3–2 | +2 |
 Picayune | 1–0 | 3–3 | +12 |
 Hancock | 1–0 | 3–3 | +1 |
 Pearl River Central | 0–1 | 4–2 | −1 |
 Gautier | 0–1 | 3–2 | −2 |
 Pascagoula | 0–1 | 2–4 | −12 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
Hancocklevel with Pascagoula, Pearl River Central on projection · the tiebreak decides2.4proj. winsPascagoulalevel with Hancock, Pearl River Central on projection · the tiebreak decides2.4proj. winsPearl River Centrallevel with Hancock, Pascagoula on projection · the tiebreak decides2.4proj. winsThe 4th projected seed sits at 2.4 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Picayune is 1–0 in Region 4-6A and 3–3 overall. The ratings project 3.8 region wins and give it a 97% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Hancock in Week 8, where the model has Picayune by 12, with an 81% chance to win. Then against Long Beach at home in Week 9.
Gautier is 0–1 in Region 4-6A and 3–2 overall. The ratings project 2.5 region wins and give it a 75% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Pearl River Central at home in Week 8, where the model has Gautier by 3, with a 59% chance to win. Then at Hancock in Week 9.
Pearl River Central is 0–1 in Region 4-6A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 2.4 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 2.4. They give Pearl River Central a 69% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Gautier in Week 8, where the model has Gautier by 3, with a 59% chance to win. Then against Pascagoula at home in Week 9.
Pascagoula is 0–1 in Region 4-6A and 2–4 overall. The ratings project 2.4 region wins and give it a 75% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Long Beach at home in Week 8, where the model has Pascagoula by 17, with an 89% chance to win. Then at Pearl River Central in Week 9.
Hancock is 1–0 in Region 4-6A, near the playoff cut. The ratings project 2.4 region wins; the 4th projected seed sits at 2.4. They give Hancock a 61% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Picayune at home in Week 8, where the model has Picayune by 12, with an 81% chance to win. Then against Gautier at home in Week 9.
Long Beach is 1–0 in Region 4-6A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 1.6 region wins, 0.8 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 23% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at Pascagoula in Week 8, where the model has Pascagoula by 17, with an 89% chance to win. Then at Picayune in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
