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Region overview · MHSAA Class 6A

Region 1-6A

Six schools, six region weeks, four playoff spots.

This Friday, Oct. 92 region games this week.

Every team in Region 1-6A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).

This week · Week 8

Week 8

All three region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.

Lake Cormorant by872%win chance
72%28%
Grenada by1483%win chance
83%17%
South Panola by4599%win chance
1%99%

Standings

Region games only

Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.

TeamRegionOverallPts ± (capped)
Center Hill1–04–1+12
Saltillo1–01–6+5
6Lake Cormorant1–06–0+4
Olive Branch0–13–4−5
South Panola0–12–3−4
Grenada0–13–2−12

If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1

  1. Head-to-head among the tied teams (their combined records if three or more are tied).
  2. How the tied teams did against the highest-seeded teams.
  3. Point differential in the region games among the tied teams, capped at 12 a game. A forfeit counts the full 12.
  4. Point differential in region games against the highest-seeded teams.
  5. Fewest points allowed in all region games (no cap).
  6. A coin flip.

Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.

Projected seeds

Four of six qualify

Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.

1Lake Cormorant4.4proj. wins
2South Panola3.6proj. wins
3Center Hill3.2proj. wins
4Grenada2.4proj. wins
The playoff cut
5Saltillo1.0proj. wins
6Olive Branch0.5proj. wins
The playoff cut
2.4region wins at the cut

The 4th projected seed sits at 2.4 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.

Team by team

Record2–30–1 in region
PCPI+312nd of 24 in 6A
Proj. region wins3.6of 4
Nextvs Saltillo · Week 8South Panola by 45 · 99% win chance

South Panola is 0–1 in Region 1-6A and 2–3 overall. The ratings project 3.6 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Saltillo at home in Week 8, where the model has South Panola by 45, with a 99% chance to win. Then at Grenada in Week 9.

Record6–01–0 in region
PCPI+263rd of 24 in 6A
Proj. region wins4.4of 4
Nextat Center Hill · Week 8Lake Cormorant by 8 · 72% win chance

Lake Cormorant is 1–0 in Region 1-6A and 6–0 overall. The ratings project 4.4 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Center Hill in Week 8, where the model has Lake Cormorant by 8, with a 72% chance to win. Then against Saltillo at home in Week 9.

Record3–20–1 in region
PCPI+204th of 24 in 6A
Proj. region wins2.4of 4
Playoff chance93%
Nextat Olive Branch · Week 8Grenada by 14 · 83% win chance

Grenada is 0–1 in Region 1-6A and 3–2 overall. The ratings project 2.4 region wins and give it a 93% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Olive Branch in Week 8, where the model has Grenada by 14, with an 83% chance to win. Then against South Panola at home in Week 9.

Record4–11–0 in region
PCPI+178th of 24 in 6A
Proj. region wins3.2of 4
Playoff chance99%
Nextvs Lake Cormorant · Week 8Lake Cormorant by 8 · 28% win chance

Center Hill is 1–0 in Region 1-6A and 4–1 overall. The ratings project 3.2 region wins and give it a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Lake Cormorant at home in Week 8, where the model has Lake Cormorant by 8, with a 72% chance to win. Then at Olive Branch in Week 9.

Record3–40–1 in region
PCPI+517th of 24 in 6A
Proj. region wins0.5of 4
Playoff chance8%
Nextvs Grenada · Week 8Grenada by 14 · 17% win chance

Olive Branch is 0–1 in Region 1-6A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.5 region wins, 1.9 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it an 8% chance at the playoffs. The path starts against Grenada at home in Week 8, where the model has Grenada by 14, with an 83% chance to win. Then against Center Hill at home in Week 9.

Record1–61–0 in region
PCPI−1322nd of 24 in 6A
Proj. region wins1.0of 4
Playoff chance1%
Nextat South Panola · Week 8South Panola by 45 · 1% win chance

Saltillo is 1–0 in Region 1-6A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 1.0 region wins, 1.4 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 1% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at South Panola in Week 8, where the model has South Panola by 45, with a 99% chance to win. Then at Lake Cormorant in Week 9.

Region play, week by week

Projected on today's ratings, which move weekly
Week 8
Lake Cormorant at Center HillLake Cormorant by 8 · 72%
Grenada at Olive BranchGrenada by 14 · 83%
Saltillo at South PanolaSouth Panola by 45 · 99%
Week 9
South Panola at GrenadaSouth Panola by 9 · 74%
Saltillo at Lake CormorantLake Cormorant by 41 · 99%
Center Hill at Olive BranchCenter Hill by 10 · 77%
Week 10
Saltillo at Center HillCenter Hill by 31 · 99%
Grenada at Lake CormorantLake Cormorant by 8 · 72%
Olive Branch at South PanolaSouth Panola by 28 · 97%
Week 11
Saltillo at GrenadaGrenada by 35 · 99%
Lake Cormorant at Olive BranchLake Cormorant by 20 · 93%
Center Hill at South PanolaSouth Panola by 16 · 86%

Last Friday against the number

Week 7 · Friday, Oct. 9

Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.

Grenada 14, Center Hill 28Upset Grenada by 13−27
Saltillo 26, Olive Branch 21Upset Olive Branch by 23+28
Ratings after Week 7 (games through Oct. 9). They move every Saturday. Ratings are fitted on every scored Mississippi game at once. Projection = home rating − away rating + a 2-point home edge; win chance = how often a margin like it holds up.