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Region overview · MHSAA Class 6A

Region 2-6A

Six schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.

This Friday, Oct. 93 region games this week.

Every team in Region 2-6A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).

This week · Week 8

Week 8

All three region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.

RidgelandatCallaway
Ridgeland by1688%win chance
88%12%
Warren CentralatGreenville
Warren Central by3999%win chance
99%1%
CantonatNeshoba Central
Neshoba Central by563%win chance
37%63%

Standings

Region games only

Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below.

TeamRegionOverallPts ± (capped)
Canton1–06–0+12
2Warren Central1–06–0+12
Neshoba Central1–04–2+10
Greenville0–13–3−10
Callaway0–13–4−12
Ridgeland0–13–2−12

If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1

  1. Head-to-head among the tied teams (their combined records if three or more are tied).
  2. How the tied teams did against the highest-seeded teams.
  3. Point differential in the region games among the tied teams, capped at 12 a game. A forfeit counts the full 12.
  4. Point differential in region games against the highest-seeded teams.
  5. Fewest points allowed in all region games (no cap).
  6. A coin flip.

Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.

Projected seeds

Four of six qualify

Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.

1Warren Central4.9proj. wins
2Neshoba Central3.0proj. wins
3Ridgeland2.9proj. wins
4Canton2.7proj. wins
The playoff cut
5Callaway0.8proj. wins
6Greenville0.7proj. wins
The playoff cut
2.7region wins at the cut

The 4th projected seed sits at 2.7 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.

Team by team

Record6–01–0 in region
PCPI+401st of 24 in 6A
Proj. region wins4.9of 4
Nextat Greenville · Week 8Warren Central by 39 · 99% win chance

Warren Central is 1–0 in Region 2-6A and 6–0 overall. The ratings project 4.9 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Greenville in Week 8, where the model has Warren Central by 39, with a 99% chance to win. Then against Neshoba Central at home in Week 9.

Record3–20–1 in region
PCPI+185th of 24 in 6A
Proj. region wins2.9of 4
Playoff chance94%
Nextat Callaway · Week 8Ridgeland by 16 · 88% win chance

Ridgeland is 0–1 in Region 2-6A and 3–2 overall. The ratings project 2.9 region wins and give it a 94% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Callaway in Week 8, where the model has Ridgeland by 16, with an 88% chance to win. Then at Canton in Week 9.

Record4–21–0 in region
PCPI+186th of 24 in 6A
Proj. region wins3.0of 4
Playoff chance97%
Nextvs Canton · Week 8Neshoba Central by 5 · 63% win chance

Neshoba Central is 1–0 in Region 2-6A and 4–2 overall. The ratings project 3.0 region wins and give it a 97% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Canton at home in Week 8, where the model has Neshoba Central by 5, with a 63% chance to win. Then at Warren Central in Week 9.

Record6–01–0 in region
PCPI+1511th of 24 in 6A
Proj. region wins2.7of 4
Playoff chance94%
Nextat Neshoba Central · Week 8Neshoba Central by 5 · 37% win chance

Canton is 1–0 in Region 2-6A and 6–0 overall. The ratings project 2.7 region wins and give it a 94% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Neshoba Central in Week 8, where the model has Neshoba Central by 5, with a 63% chance to win. Then against Ridgeland at home in Week 9.

Record3–40–1 in region
PCPI019th of 24 in 6A
Proj. region wins0.8of 4
Playoff chance7%
Nextvs Ridgeland · Week 8Ridgeland by 16 · 12% win chance

Callaway is 0–1 in Region 2-6A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.8 region wins, 1.9 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 7% chance at the playoffs. The path starts against Ridgeland at home in Week 8, where the model has Ridgeland by 16, with an 88% chance to win. Then against Greenville at home in Week 9.

Record3–30–1 in region
PCPI020th of 24 in 6A
Proj. region wins0.7of 4
Playoff chance8%
Nextvs Warren Central · Week 8Warren Central by 39 · 1% win chance

Greenville is 0–1 in Region 2-6A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.7 region wins, 2.0 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it an 8% chance at the playoffs. The path starts against Warren Central at home in Week 8, where the model has Warren Central by 39, with a 99% chance to win. Then at Callaway in Week 9.

Region play, week by week

Projected on today's ratings, which move weekly
Week 8
Ridgeland at CallawayRidgeland by 16 · 88%
Warren Central at GreenvilleWarren Central by 39 · 99%
Canton at Neshoba CentralNeshoba Central by 5 · 63%
Week 9
Greenville at CallawayCallaway by 2 · 56%
Ridgeland at CantonRidgeland by 2 · 56%
Neshoba Central at Warren CentralWarren Central by 24 · 96%
Week 10
Canton at GreenvilleCanton by 13 · 83%
Neshoba Central at RidgelandRidgeland by 2 · 56%
Callaway at Warren CentralWarren Central by 41 · 99%
Week 11
Warren Central at CantonWarren Central by 24 · 96%
Callaway at Neshoba CentralNeshoba Central by 19 · 91%
Greenville at RidgelandRidgeland by 20 · 92%

Last Friday against the number

Week 7 · Friday, Oct. 9

Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.

Canton 34, Callaway 12 Canton by 14+8
Greenville 22, Neshoba Central 32 Neshoba Central by 18+8
Ridgeland 21, Warren Central 49 Warren Central by 16−12
Ratings after Week 7 (games through Oct. 9). They move every Saturday. Ratings are fitted on every scored Mississippi game at once. Projection = home rating − away rating + a 2-point home edge; win chance = how often a margin like it holds up.