Six schools, five region weeks, four playoff spots.
Every team in Region 3-6A side by side: the standings, the projected seeds, each team's outlook and every region game, with ratings from the Press Coverage Power Index (PCPI).
All three region games this week, with the model's projection and how often a margin like that goes the favorite's way.
Region games only, in the MHSAA order: region record, then the tiebreak steps below. Still level after every step we can compute: Hattiesburg, Terry.
| Team | Region | Overall | Pts ± (capped) |
|---|---|---|---|
 Hattiesburg | 1–0 | 3–3 | +12 |
 West Jones | 1–0 | 5–2 | +6 |
| Terry | 1–0 | 4–3 | +12 |
 George County | 0–1 | 2–3 | −6 |
 Jim Hill | 0–1 | 2–5 | −12 |
 Forest Hill | 0–1 | 0–7 | −12 |
If teams finish tied · MHSAA Handbook 2026-27, Rule 7.20.1
Because of the 12-point cap, a 56–0 win counts the same as 12–0. When a tie turns on margin, this page says "depends on the margin" rather than guess.
Projected region wins, ratings after Week 7. A projection, not a prediction of the standings.
The 4th projected seed sits at 2.5 region wins. Each team's outlook below shows where it stands against that cut and what comes next.
Hattiesburg is 1–0 in Region 3-6A and 3–3 overall. The ratings project 3.9 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Forest Hill at home in Week 8, where the model has Hattiesburg by 34, with a 99% chance to win. Then at George County in Week 9.
West Jones is 1–0 in Region 3-6A and 5–2 overall. The ratings project 4.0 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is at Terry in Week 8, where the model has West Jones by 2, with a 55% chance to win. Then at Forest Hill in Week 9.
Terry is 1–0 in Region 3-6A and 4–3 overall. The ratings project 3.5 region wins and give it better than a 99% chance at the playoffs. Next is against West Jones at home in Week 8, where the model has West Jones by 2, with a 55% chance to win. Then at Jim Hill in Week 9.
George County is 0–1 in Region 3-6A and 2–3 overall. The ratings project 2.5 region wins and give it a 97% chance at the playoffs. Next is against Jim Hill at home in Week 8, where the model has George County by 30, with a 98% chance to win. Then against Hattiesburg at home in Week 9.
Forest Hill is 0–1 in Region 3-6A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.8 region wins, 1.7 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 3% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at Hattiesburg in Week 8, where the model has Hattiesburg by 34, with a 99% chance to win. Then against West Jones at home in Week 9.
Jim Hill is 0–1 in Region 3-6A, with ground to make up. The ratings project 0.3 region wins, 2.2 short of the 4th projected seed, and give it a 1% chance at the playoffs. The path starts at George County in Week 8, where the model has George County by 30, with a 98% chance to win. Then against Terry at home in Week 9.
Each result next to what the model expected. Green beat the number, red fell short of it.
